Model read · IRE

Galway 5:10

The Algohorse model's verdict on this 11-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.

MODEL VERDICT
Arouet
45.3% to place · best value: Mento

The model makes Arouet its standout in this 11-runner Galway contest, rating it 45.3% to place and 10.3% to win. But it's a competitive heat: only 3.5999999999999943 points cover the front two, and the model's shortlist to place is tight — Arouet (45.3%), Mino Des Mottes (41.7%), Witches Familiar (37.9%). On price, though, the market is shorter than the model (15.2% implied at 6.6) — the fancied runner looks fully priced, so any value lies elsewhere in the race. The published Algohorse selection is Arouet (NEXT BEST), to be backed each way.

The standout

RunnerPlace %Win %PriceValue
Arouet45.3%10.3%6.6-4.8pp
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