A model, not a man with a tip
Every Algohorse selection comes from a machine-learning model trained on decades of racing — graded the same way, every day. Here's exactly how a tip is made.
Decades of racing, cleaned
38 years of results, form, official ratings, going, draw, class and connections — 3.8M runner records across 400,000+ races, joined and refreshed daily across UK, Irish and Hong Kong racing.
Gradient-boosted probabilities
Separate win and place models score each runner's chance from the features above. No hunches, no narratives — just a probability for every horse in every race.
Honest numbers
Raw model scores are calibrated so a stated "70%" really means 70% over the long run. Confidence you can actually read.
Tested on unseen seasons
The model is walk-forward tested — trained on the past, judged on the future it never saw — with strict controls so no post-race information ever leaks into a feature.
Registered before the off
Each morning the model rates the day's cards. Selections are tiered (NAP, Next Best, Speculative) and logged at the price available — before the race, so nothing is hindsight.
Settled against the result
After racing, every tip is graded automatically: placed or not, and whether the price beat the SP (CLV). That record is the foundation of everything we'll publish.
Why this is different from a tipster
A tipster gives you an opinion. A model gives you a process — the same inputs, the same maths, every single day, with no room for ego, recency bias or a good story about a well-bred maiden. When the model is wrong, you can see why, and the next day it still does exactly what it did before.
It also means we can be honest about what we don't know. Public-data models are very good at reading form, but the market is sharp too. We lead with closing-line value precisely because it measures whether our prices carry information the market hadn't fully priced — the only edge that survives contact with reality.
What you actually receive
- A tiered daily card across UK, Irish and Hong Kong racing.
- The model's confidence and the registered price for every selection.
- Morning delivery to the app, email and Telegram (paid tiers).
- An auditable record that grows every day — see the track record.
Start free. Upgrade when the model convinces you.
One model tip a day, free — the full daily card across UK, IRE & HK on Core.