Model read · GB
Epsom Downs 6:05
The Algohorse model's verdict on this 5-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.
MODEL VERDICT
Celestarak
45.4% to place · best value: Society Girl
The model makes Celestarak its standout in this 5-runner Epsom Downs contest, rating it 45.4% to place and 25.0% to win. The market is shorter than the model here (44.6% implied at 2.24), so there's no value at the front of the book. Chief danger is Darkest Red (23.0% to place).
The standout
| Runner | Place % | Win % | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celestarak | 45.4% | 25% | 2.24 | -19.6pp |
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