Model read · GB
Doncaster 2:45
The Algohorse model's verdict on this 8-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.
MODEL VERDICT
Count Bezukhov
74.6% to place · best value: Saifo
The model makes Count Bezukhov its standout in this 8-runner Doncaster contest, rating it 74.6% to place and 39.7% to win. The market is shorter than the model here (47.2% implied at 2.12), so there's no value at the front of the book. Chief danger is According To Mark (55.6% to place). Algohorse selection: Count Bezukhov (NEXT BEST), place.
The standout
| Runner | Place % | Win % | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count Bezukhov | 74.6% | 39.7% | 2.12 | -7.5pp |
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