Model read · GB
Carlisle 4:20
The Algohorse model's verdict on this 8-runner race — probabilities, value vs the market, and the standout.
MODEL VERDICT
Cotai Belle
59.3% to place · best value: Rogue Attraction
The model makes Cotai Belle its standout in this 8-runner Carlisle contest, rating it 59.3% to place and 15.2% to win. The market is shorter than the model here (30.3% implied at 3.3), so there's no value at the front of the book. Chief danger is Dandy Magic (47.2% to place). Algohorse selection: Cotai Belle (SPECULATIVE), place.
The standout
| Runner | Place % | Win % | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotai Belle | 59.3% | 15.2% | 3.3 | -15.1pp |
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